As a point of comparison, the Democratic candidates in the last three statewide contests each won their respective races by 14 points (2017 governor, 2016 president, 2014 U.S. All leads in the current likely voter models are statistically significant. A model projecting lower overall turnout also shows Menendez with a comfortable lead of 51% to 39%. The incumbent’s lead expands to 50%-39% using a model that incorporates a turnout surge in Democratic areas of the state. Hugin actually has the advantage among white voters without a college degree (49%-41%), but this group comprises fewer than 4-in-10 likely voters in New Jersey. Menendez also has a slight 48%-45% lead among white voters with a college degree. The largest group of undecided voters is comprised of those from Latino, black, Asian and other non-white backgrounds (17%), with whom the incumbent has a formidable 63%-19% lead otherwise. The remaining 8% of likely voters are undecided. Each receives 1% support while a generic “some other candidate” – there are an additional four names on the ballot – also receives 1%. The poll also included Libertarian Murray Sabrin and the Green Party’s Madelyn Hoffman among the list of named candidates. Menendez currently holds a 49% to 40% lead over Hugin among likely voters using Monmouth’s standard midterm turnout model. Regardless of how they feel about Menendez, voters say that President Donald Trump is ultimately a bigger factor in their choice for Senate. While voters tend to hold a negative view of the Democratic incumbent, most feel that the behavior that led to his recent trial was probably no worse than what most other politicians do. Senate, according to the latest Monmouth University Poll. ![]() ![]() ![]() "This has gone too far and I'm going to be the person to make that change November the 6th.West Long Branch, NJ – Bob Menendez holds a lead of between 9 and 12 points over Bob Hugin in the former’s bid for a third full term in the U.S. "We put up with a lot of stuff in New Jersey to a certain point, but we know when it's too far," Hugin said. A jury deadlocked on bribery charges before prosecutors ultimately declined to retry him.īut afterward, the bipartisan Senate Ethics Committee, in a rare move, "severely admonished" Menendez for his actions. There's no substance to this."Īnd on the flip side, Hugin called Menendez "the poster boy of abuse of the system." He is highlighting Menendez's federal corruption trial. "This is just being used as a political football. "The two issues that they're alleging are just political red herrings to confuse, to say 'he's unethical, he's immoral, but let's try to tar this other guy with things that are totally different,'" Hugin said. His campaign is alleging Hugin made millions on the backs of cancer patients. The Menendez campaign is hitting Hugin for big increases in the price of the cancer drug Revlimid, blocking generic drugs from coming to market, and Celgene's $280 million settlement with the government last year for promoting the use of certain cancer drugs in ways not approved by the FDA. "My opponent, greedy drug company CEO Bob Hugin, is going to have to answer for his record of driving up prices for cancer patients while making millions for himself," he said in the video. Menendez is also going on the attack against Hugin's record as head of the drug company Celgene. "Every campaign is a choice, but I believe the one this November is pretty clear because the stakes have never been higher," Menendez said in a video message to supporters Tuesday night. "I also believe I'm aligned with where New Jersey is on immigration."Īnd with the primaries in the rearview mirror, both candidates are now focusing on the general election and each other. But I'm pro-choice, I'm pro-marriage equality, I strongly support equal pay for equal work," Hugin said, explaining his political leanings. "There are a lot of things I align with traditional Republicans on. The Marine Corps veteran and former pharmaceutical executive describes himself as an independent person and is running television ads declaring himself a "different kind of Republican." "People who are not affiliated are the ones who are going to decide this election." "The battle is going to be for the middle," Hugin said. A recent Farleigh Dickinson University poll shows political newcomer Hugin trailing Menendez by just 4 points, with 46 percent of voters undecided. In fact, a GOP senator hasn't been elected there since the early 1970s.īut Republicans are hoping this year is different. Senate race in New Jersey has traditionally been a reliable Democratic victory.
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